6.30am Hookipa has shoulder to head high clean waves. A little inconsistent. Gonna get crowded.
Sunday, March 18, 2018
Casey went windfoiling on a Sean Ordones designed board with the foil box well in front of the tail and found out that when riding waves on a windfoil he can't do the same lines as with a regular windsurfer. In fact, you can't really hit lips or stay in the pocket, got to look for relatively slopy sections instead (just like when surf/SUP foiling). Still challenging hence fun.
SUP surfer caught a bit of a gem on his way in at Hookipa.
4am significant buoy readings
2.8ft @ 13s from 207° (SSW)
Still decent energy at the SE buoy, the Lahaina side should have waves also today.
9.4ft @ 9s from 27° (NNE)
4ft @ 13s from 312° (NW)
6.4ft @ 8s from 4° (N)
3.8ft @ 12s from 331° (NNW)
The NW buoy is in the middle of the N fetch circled in the fetches map below and so it's reading a high energy from the NNE, but that will most like miss us to the west. What we have on tap today is the declining yesterday's NW swell that peaked in the late afternoon as the graph below shows. Stay tuned for a beach report around 6.30am.
Wind map at noon shows a NE flow on the north shore.
North Pacific showis a N fetch that will send us first a small pulse on Monday/Tuesday (4f 9s). Much bigger NNE swell is predicted for Wednesday on.
South Pacific shows a weak S fetch and a better SE one but the swell from this last one will probably be blocked by the Big Island.
Saturday, March 17, 2018
6am significant buoy readings
1.8ft @ 12s from 169° (SSE)
1.8ft @ 13s from 183° (S)
Southerly energy going down in period at the buoys but there's still knee to waist high waves on the Lahaina side.
4.9ft @ 13s from 335° (NNW)
4.1ft @ 13s from 319° (NW)
New NW swell on the rise at the buoys. Below are the graphs of the three reported ones plus the Surfline forecast. I circled in red the new swell and drew a dotted line for Pauwela based on the travel time from Hanalei to here which, as you can see from the Buoys to Maui travel times and Maui's shadow lines post, at 14s is 9h. The graph of Hanalei suggests that it's peaking at 4f around 6am, so expect a slightly smaller peak in Maui around 3pm. That is a bit earlier than predicted by Surfline. Also check the beach report below this post.
Don't remember where this swell is coming from? No problem, let me refresh your memory with the collage of the fetches maps of March 14, 15 and 16. This swell was made by the fetch marked with the number 1. The n.2 will send a small reinforcement on Monday.
Wind map at noon. I got a feeling I might go windsurfing before work.
North Pacific shows a couple of small fetches. The one to the immediate north of us, should intensify (it's a small occluded low) and provide long lasting short/medium period northerly energy starting Monday.
South Pacific has a couple of small/weak fetches that won't do much for us other than hopefully keep some background knee high energy breakin.
Friday, March 16, 2018
Knee to thigh high it was. The swell got bigger in the afternoon, more like waist to occasionally chest high.
4am significant buoy readings
1.9ft @ 14s from 143° (SE)
2.2ft @ 13s from 212° (SW)
2.8ft @ 14s from 233° (WSW)
Small south swell pretty steady at the buoys, usually the consistency improves a bit on day two. Stay tuned for an early morning beach report.
3.1ft @ 10s from 359° (N)
2.9ft @ 8s from 55° (ENE)
Both N swell and windswell tapering down significantly, today it's going to be a very small day at Hookipa. Should be clean though with very favorable winds in the morning.
Wind map at noon (24h+ old, model didn't update). Windguru suggests less wind.
North Pacific doesn't show much wave generation at all.
South Pacific keeps showing cyclonic activity. Without the map with the great circle rays on the right, I would have never been able to know which portion of those winds were directed towards us.
Thursday, March 15, 2018
In the beach report I mentioned that at the beginning of the month I called for two weeks of waves at the Bay and yesterday (March 14th) it was the last day. Not much to brag really. If you know what works for a surf spot, the Surfline Offshore Swell forecast (links n.14 and 15) tells you 17 days of predictions (with the subscription). That's what I based my prediction on and it happened to be true. Credit goes to the WW3 model and a little bit to my local knowledge. It doesn't take much to build that on your own. Just read the post Buoys to Maui travel times and Maui's shadow lines to understand what directions work for the spot of your interest (all in my case since I'm very mobile) and then observe and correlate buoy readings with sizes and you'll have a solid base of knowledge in a few months.
4am significant buoy readings
2ft @ 15s from 187° (S)
1.5ft @ 15s from 217° (SW)
1.8ft @ 15s from 182° (S)
Lovely long period southerly energy is at the outer buoys, just as Surfline predicted. They only call for 1f 16s for Maui while there seems to be more than that, but we know that Kahoolawe can take its toll. Nonetheless, there should be extremely inconsistent sets today, on top of the refracted windswell that was already in the water yesterday with knee to thigh high waves. The two should look completely different in terms of distance between the waves (period) and frequency of arrival.
Surprisingly, Pat Caldwell doesn't seem to have noticed this small southerly pulse as he wrote: No surf from the southern hemisphere beyond tiny is expected through the period. What can I say, let's hope he's wrong. We'll find out soon, I hope I'll have time to post an beach report around 6.30am.
3.5ft @ 11s from 345° (NNW)
4.6ft @ 7s from 64° (ENE)
Northerly swell steadily tapering down, but still not quite dead yet. Thanks to the favorable winds, Hookipa will be very clean this morning and probably still up to head high. Can't post a beach report, as I need to be on the south shore very early for a company board meeting.
Wind map at noon.
North Pacific shows two NW fetches and a E windswell fetch.
South Pacific shows a nice fetch SW of New Zealand.
My favorite human on the planet Dr. Greger just came out with another little masterpiece. I love his pragmatism.
Wednesday, March 14, 2018
9am honolua has very inconsistent waist to occasionally head high sets. 15 people total, but there's not many waves.
I wrote that the bay was going to be breaking every day for the first two weeks of March, and today is the last one.
lahaina side had knee to occasionally thigh high waves and clean conditions everywhere.
Doubl hand drag proved to be successful down the line.
Tanner Hendrickson was way up the line and got this barrel there.
And hit the closeout afterwards.
5am significant buoy readings
No indication of southerly energy at the buoys, the Surfline forecast calls for 0.6f 16f but only in the afternoon. That would be the start of a low, long lasting, long period swell coming from the remote fetches circled in the maps below (6,7 and 8 March).
4.4ft @ 12s from 336° (NNW)
The NNW energy disappeared at the NW buoy, while it's still at the N one. That confirms what I wrote a couple of days ago about the swell being bigger east of the NW buoy. Still some energy in the water though, on the steady decline for the next couple of days. The Surfline Offshore Swell Heights forecast proved to be extremely accurate again, so below are the next three days. The purple line is the NNW swell, the red is the E windswell. I'll post a Hookipa beach report by 7.30am. Webcam shows still overhead and windy.
Wind map at noon shows easterly trades. So easterly that the early morning hours should see no wind down the coast.
North Pacific looks better than yesterday with a couple of small NW fetches. The related small swells should arrive Sunday and Monday.
South Pacific shows two very remote fetches.